It's a good question, and one I've wondered about, but never been able to test very well because all my Jeeps have been different years. Of the three I've owned, and a couple of others in the family, the best mileage award goes to my 87 AW4, which got a pretty consistent lifetime average of 23. I replaced that with a 95 AX15, which over the 150 thousand plus miles I put on it, rarely topped 20. I replaced that one with a 99 AX15, which in the hundred thousand + miles I've driven it so far, has fallen somewhere between, peaking at about 25, dropping easily into the teens, and averaging 20-22 for the most part. My stepson had a 93 AW4, and got about 20. My son had a 96 AX15, and got about 24.
In other words, I don't really know, but I think it's going to be pretty close.
One of the paradoxical problems with the manual models is that they're geared so tall that they are not in their optimal torque range when cruising. I know some people have contended that you'll get better overall mileage if you stay in fourth gear more, but I haven't done a really scientific experiment on that.